Projecting Bioclimatic Change over the South-Eastern European Agricultural and Natural Areas via Ultrahigh-Resolution Analysis of the de Martonne Index

The changing climate is closely related to changes in the bioclimate. This research deals with present bioclimate and its projected evolution over entirety of natural agricultural lands south-eastern Europe individual countries (Bulgaria, Greece, Kosovo, N. Macedonia, Romania, Serbia). For this purpose, an ultrahigh spatial resolution de Martonne bioclimatic index pattern was elaborated analysed for first time. survey performed reference period (1981–2010) future time frames (2011–2040; 2041–2070; 2071–2100) under SSP370 SSP585 emission scenarios. On a territorial level, both areas appear as highly impacted by bioclimate; highest xerothermic trend expected influence latter areas, mostly 2071–2100 higher scenario. will face expansion semidry class from 0.9% (of total area) during 5.6% RCP8.5 scenario dominant extremely humid falls 53.5% 32.9% same periods other hand, more intense alteration going 4.9% 17.7% 41.1% 23.5% very study presents statistics per country selected scenarios provide information stakeholders. study’s results highlight necessity intensifying adaptation plans actions aiming at feasibility practices conservation areas.